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Cambrian San Jose Real Estate Trends

Cambrian, an area of San Jose, CA, typically follows a traditional spring to fall sales cycle with peak sales in early summer (around May to July with 75+ sales) due to the push for the first day of school in mid-August. The sales then slow significantly down in November, December, and January (with a low of 25-30 closings in January).

Have higher interest rates affected the normal market cycle? Read on to find out.

In the sections below, you will find a chart of the Cambrian house price trend (both 95124 and 95118 zip codes) and raw statistics for the current monthStay in touch with our monthly market updates by signing up for our newsletter!

The San Jose Housing Market update page contains an indepth write-up on the overall South Bay housing market. 

Cambrian Real Estate Trends - closed data through February 2024

What is the San Jose Cambrian average home price?

The average price in February 2024 for Cambrian was $1,996,490. The average sale price to list price ratio came in at 112.0% of the asking price.  The Cambrian average price peaked in April 2022 ($2,044,930), and then depreciated due to the quick rise of interest rates and decrease in the stock market and did not quite recover in 2023 but it is very close to this peak now. Shop Cambrian homes for sale today.

Comparing February 2021 at $1,560,890 average price (pandemic prices) to today’s prices, homeowners in Cambrian have seen a 27% increase in home values over the last 3 years. Check out the current active market metrics in the stats below.

Find out what is your San Jose home worth today, just share details and we will research actual comparable sales.

Cambrian Housing Market Data - Closed February 2024

Below is a chart comparing the Cambrian housing inventory (yellow line) with the previous month's sales (green bar) and closed Cambrian housing market prices. Keep in mind the prices lag by 30 days since a typical escrow is 30 days long.  

Cambrian real estate market trends graph

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The analysis of the real estate market trends data below includes is periodically updated, about once a quarter.

How has the Cambrian real estate market recently performed?

In all of 2017 Cambrian experienced extremely low inventory (see the yellow line for inventory in the graph below), and multiple offers.  These multiple offers spurred a quick increase in home prices.

In late April of 2018, inventory shot back up to normal and the record high prices plus increasing interest rates had buyers waiting on the sidelines.  With the number of sales decreasing earlier than typical in the year’s sales cycle, prices softened through the rest of 2018.

Record-low inventory returned in 2020 and 2021, while demand and closed sales were really strong. With low supply and high demand, prices again increased in 2020 and throughout 2021, recovering the price dip of late 2018 and adding to it.  The 2021 peak price in October was 19% over the April 2018 peak (although the condo and townhome market has not recovered so well). The number of sales closed in 2021 was stronger than any recent years.

2022 started off with the lowest inventory on record yet, pushing buyers to pay on average 20% above the asking price to “win” a house. May 2022 had noticeable interest rate increases and a sharply declining stock market, forcing many buyers out of the price point to buy a home in many areas of San Jose.  Due to this decrease in demand (and low Q3 sales to prove it), home prices adjusted back to the prices of 2021. Then in August, buyer interest sparked again with the new lower list prices and September closed sales showed an average of 102.8% over the asking price again. Q4 was slow in sales numbers in all of San Jose.

2023 started off slow with lower than normal sales numbers but the Spring market picked up with 40 sales closing in March 2023 after buyers felt some relief from the slight dip in interest rates. But interest continued to increase in 2023 putting pressure on home buyers' budgets. Surprisingly spring and early summer of 2023 had record low inventory, more typical for December and January rather than peak selling months.  This record low inventory held throughout the entire year putting competitive pressure on the homes for sale. You will note from data above that homes sell on average 4% or more than asking price.

2024 will be a healthly market with low supply of homes for sale continuing to be the driving factor to appreciation.  I expect the supply and demand imbalance will result in 8-10% appreciation in 2024.

Stay tuned with San Jose Housing monthly updates by watching my monthly San Jose Housing Market update videos or by signing up for the local San Jose Housing Newsletter.

Which direction are the Cambrian Real Estate Trends heading?

Days of Inventory (DOI) is a monthly metric I follow to understand the speed and direction of the market.  As of December 2023, the DOI in Cambrian is at 6 days (lower than most of San Jose); a very strong sellers’ market.  Hopefully more sellers will take advantage of the lower inventory and sell to help satisfy buyer demand for Cambrian.

With interest rates currently in the 6% range, many buyers are looking at 7-year adjustable rate mortgages to make a home purchase more affordable on the monthly pocketbook. I expect prices to have a healthy appreciation in 2024 due to continued supply and demand imbalance.The good unemployment numbers help to keep up buyer demand.

This article is updated once a quarter (the next update is mid-April 2024 with data through the end of March 2024).  To see more recent updates, take a look at the Cambrian market metrics below or watch my overall San Jose Market overview video.

Want to talk about your plans? Setup a 15 minute call with our team or considering selling in 6-12mos, then let’s plan the home prep now to get highest possible price when you are ready to sell!